November 2016 — Retail Properties Quarterly —
Page 23
lot of retail developers became over-
ly aggressive and forgot the adage
“retail follows rooftops” when they
built large developments in areas
that were sparsely populated.
Retail developers (and retailers)
are a lot pickier about site selection
now and are focused on infill areas
that are already dense and are either
stabilized or undergoing changes
(e.g., gentrification). Sprouts Farmers
Market is a good example. All of the
store’s new locations are in urban
infill areas.
In addition, Denver is seeing a
flood of retailers from outside of
Colorado plant flags here. We believe
they are attracted to our growing
population and, in some cases, fol-
lowing loyal customers who have
moved here from other states. For
example, if you moved here from
Texas (like many transplants), you’ve
probably known about Torchy’s
Tacos for years. The daily lines out
the door are a testament to its loyal
customers, many of whom probably
enjoyed Torchy’s for years before it
opened in Denver.
A lot of retail tenants took advan-
tage of the Great Recession to nego-
tiate concessions from which they
still are benefiting. We believe that
those remaining concessions will
provide upside to retail landlords
in the future as those leases burn
off. In those situations, landlords
will have the upper hand in lease
negotiations and will be able to sub-
stantially increase rents, which is a
situation that appears to be occur-
ring now.
Further, new projects are com-
manding rents as high as $50 a
square foot, which raises the bar for
everyone. Just as many thought that
multifamily rents couldn’t get any
higher in 2014 (and were wrong), we
believe that there is a long runway
for retail rent growth for the next
three years. Investors who acquire
retail properties with low rents will
be in a good position to capitalize on
the coming retail growth cycle.
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interest rates still available.
Also, fueling some of the new
developments are the high number
of restaurants coming into our mar-
ket. Most of these are fast-casual
concepts such as Tokyo Joe’s, MOD
Pizza, Dickey’s BBQ, Pie Five and
Jersey Subs. These restaurants want
highly visible, convenient locations
with end caps and some with drive-
through capability. This has resulted
in the development of a number of
smaller strip centers in areas such
as Interquest Parkway and Inter-
state 25, Powers Boulevard and Dub-
lin Boulevard, and Northgate Boule-
vard and Voyager Parkway. Most of
these projects are on the north or
northeast side of Colorado Springs.
We also are starting to see a few
developments with more traditional
design driven by grocers. Sprouts
Farmers Market is opening two
stores in newly developed centers
at Powers Boulevard and Barnes
Road, and at Northgate Boulevard
and Voyager Parkway. Kroger is
opening a new King Soopers Mar-
ketplace, double the size of its nor-
mal store, at Constitution Avenue
and Marksheffel Road.
The future for Colorado Springs
commercial real estate market
looks to be very good. These devel-
opments comprise the largest
amount of retail development in
Colorado Springs for nearly the last
decade and the next few years look
to continue that trend. While there
is much more to be said, I think, the
best summary is to refer to chart
A.
s
ern- and southern-most boundar-
ies – was slated to be broken into
four individual buildings. This would
not only open up three new sight-
lines into the center’s interior when
viewed fromWadsworth Boulevard,
but also would have the secondary
effect of creating pedestrian-friendly
entertainment and outdoor eating
spaces in these newly created open-
ings. That construction broke ground
in September.
“As part of our vision for the cen-
ter, we needed to open up lines of
sight from the street, effectively
partitioning specific buildings and
effectuating the relocation of many
existing tenants,” said Tim Roe, exec-
utive vice president, senior director of
leasing at Pine Tree. “Communicating
the reason for each tenant’s reloca-
tion, finding them comparable space
within the center, and keeping them
open and happily conducting busi-
ness as normal during the transition
were our top priorities.”
Relocating five tenants from the
soon-to-be partitioned western strip
of retail now referred to as the West
Shops at Arvada Marketplace, we
negotiated with the national and
regional restaurant users we origi-
nally envisioned occupying the space.
The open spaces next to the restau-
rants will serve some tenants as out-
door eating areas.
Arvada Marketplace soon will have
various planned outdoor seating
areas, sidewalks, new wayfinding sig-
nage, newly updated pylon signage,
new canopies and efficient LED light-
ing. We are hopeful our redevelop-
ment plans will serve to revive and
renew the shopping center when
finished next year.
At the time of the article’s writ-
ing, we are in negotiations with two
major national retailers to repurpose
the center’s existing Sports Author-
ity box for alternative use. And in
what is a commitment to the Arvada
submarket and the center’s planned
revitalization, Sam’s Club underwent
a major renovation this summer.
The West Shops at Arvada are
expected to open late spring 2017.
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the average market cap rate may
find a ceiling that correlates roughly
with a point of positive leverage
assuming typical market debt terms
available to the private capital inves-
tor.
•
Livin’ the dream in Denver.
A best-
in-class airport, interconnected
multimodal mass transit, strong job
growth, world-class recreational pur-
suits and 300-plus days of sunshine
per year all contribute to Denver’s
popularity. The list of benefits to call-
ing the Colorado Front Range home
is having a huge impact with out-of-
market investors and retail tenants
alike taking note and planting their
flag in Colorado. Limited new con-
struction starts, a growing population
and high tenant demand is driving
tangible rent growth for proper-
ties along the Front Range. Savvy
investors are seeking opportunities
in well-located, underutilized and
undermanaged properties that offer
a path to value creation through driv-
ing net-operating-income growth.
Understanding the micro environ-
ment impacting the complex web of
factors influencing commercial real
estate investment in a given property
sector and geographic location is crit-
ical for an investor/seller to ensure
an optimal outcome when imple-
menting a strategic disposition or
recapitalization effort. An investment
brokerage adviser must demonstrate
real-time working knowledge of the
most active and aggressive buyers in
the market along with a deep under-
standing of the variable factors driv-
ing investment decisions.
s
Krieger
Winsor
Bremen
Henrichs
Continued from Page 6 Continued from Page 8 Continued from Page 22 Continued from Page 12time to present loan requests to
lenders.
Since we’ve entered the fourth
quarter, life companies have shifted
their focus to 2017, and they’re
eager to fill fresh allocations for
commercial real estate loans. Their
allocations next year will be the
same, if not greater, and they will
continue to offer the best interest
rates. Since the CMBS market has
come back strong, life companies
have more competition for the time
being, but there’s still uncertainty
in the securitized market as Dodd-
Frank regulations pertaining to risk
retention and greater due diligence
become effective this Christmas Eve.
While our outlook remains posi-
tive, based on our experience in
2016, we’re encouraging investors
with 2017 financing needs to seek
loans during the first half of the
year while competition among life
companies will be fierce. Addition-
ally, we’re encouraging borrowers
to explore forward commitments.
In many cases, in an effort to win
opportunities early, life companies
already are considering 2017 loan
requests, offering forward commit-
ments up to 12 months early, which
allow borrowers to lock rates now
for future funding.
s
Salzman
Continued from Page 14Farnsworth Group
The redevelopment will include various planned outdoor seating areas, sidewalks, new wayfinding signage, newly updated pylon signage,
new canopies and efficient LED lighting.