by Michelle Z. Askeland
Entering 2017, the rapid accelera-
tion of Denver's multifamily market
seems to be cooling. Yet, it’s not
doom and gloom but, rather, a set-
tling back onto familiar ground.
Before diving into what experts
around the industry are saying, here
are some current statistics to keep
in mind for the seven-county Denver
metro area, according to Cary Bru-
teig with Apartment Appraisers &
Consultants:
•9,800 units were completed in
2016.
•25,382 units in 112 properties are
under construction, as of the end of
January.
•26,884 units are proposed in proj-
ects, as of the end of January.
•52,266 units are in the total pipe-
line (units under construction plus
proposed).
The numbers tell a convincing
story. If we continue to add units
to the market, eventually we’ll hit
an equilibrium of units vs. renters.
However, Denver’s unprecedented
in-migration throws a wrench into
the equation – we don’t know the
actual need today, what it will be in
a few years or what millennials will
desire for their housing as they age.
A trend toward higher vacancies
and slower rent growth solidified
over the last few quarters, accord-
ing to Apartment Insights’ fourth-
quarter 2016 statistics and trends
summary. In addition, absorption
slowed, rents decreased and sales
were down in the fourth quarter,
according to the report. But it was
still a record year for sales volume
and prices.
In mid-January, the Apartment
Association of Metro Denver
announced that rents across metro
Denver decreased by the largest dol-
lar amount in the 36-year history of
the report. Average rents for nearly
120,000 Denver apartment units
decreased from $1,371 this summer
to $1,347 in the fourth-quarter, the
report said. Median rents remained
flat at $1,329. Rents decreased and
vacancy increased in all six of the
counties covered in the survey –
Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder/Broom-
field, Denver, Douglas and Jefferson
counties, according to the report.
So, what does it all mean? Experts
After years of double-digit rent growth and tight occupancy rates, both figures are expected to see only moderate increases in 2017.
Please see Page 30Market cools to steady,
sustainable pace
INSIDE
A roundup of Denver-supported affordable housing projects in the 2017 pipeline. Affordable housing PAGE 18 Beware of these pests and insects that could threaten your landscape. Management tips PAGE 28 New building materials could impact apartment, student and senior facilities. Construction trends PAGE 24 February 2017