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— Office Properties Quarterly — March 2017

O

ver the last few years, Den-

ver’s office property market-

place has been bolstered by

strong hiring in the metro’s

primary office-using sec-

tors, which enabled vacancy to

hover near a decade low by midyear

2016. By year’s end, local employers

added 47,900 workers to payrolls,

10,000 of which were office-using

positions.

The office market will continue

to improve in 2017 as firms expand

into larger spaces and hiring in pri-

mary office-using sectors remains

stable. This year, area employers

will increase the Denver workforce

by 2.8 percent, or 41,500 employees.

This includes 10,000 office-using

positions, which will help offset a

robust development pipeline.

In 2016, new supply encountered

high demand throughout the Den-

ver metropolis with companies

including Comcast and Agrium

signing leases at speculative office

projects. Comcast announced that

it would move 1,000 workers into

a 212,000-square-foot building in

Centennial this year, while Agrium

moved forward with plans to con-

solidate its U.S. headquarters into

a 120,000-sf space in Loveland. One

of the largest projects completed in

2016 was the 127,000-sf FirstBank

headquarters in Lakewood. Overall,

by year’s end, builders had deliv-

ered 960,000 sf of office space to the

Denver metro area.

Developers, encouraged by several

years of relatively stable vacancy

levels and a healthy job market,

will move forward

with a number of

speculative office

projects this year

to address persist-

ing demand for

new space. Con-

struction will be

largely focused in

the downtown area

and along Inter-

state 25 through

the Denver Tech

Center, Green-

wood Village and

Centennial. Den-

ver’s commitment to providing an

expansive network of commuter rail

lines and alternative forms of trans-

portation has attracted residents

and companies to these areas.

By the end of 2017, deliveries are

projected to reach a cyclical high of

2.3 million sf of office space, a sig-

nificant increase from the previous

year.

In 2016, vacancy remained at a

historical low, ending the year at

14.6 percent. Heightened demand

for Class B/C office space dropped

the rate 40 basis points among this

asset class, while an influx of Class

A stock kept the overall vacancy

flat. The vacancy rate was lowest in

the midtown and northeast Den-

ver submarkets and highest in the

downtown submarket.

This year, healthy net absorption

will keep Denver’s office vacancy

low as completions reach their

cyclical peak; however, demand

will not outweigh the new supply.

For this reason, vacancy rates are

anticipated to rise 20 basis points in

2017 to 14.8 percent, remaining well

below the previous 10-year average.

Low vacancy last year supported

office property rent gains and

boosted the average asking rent to

$25.14 per sf, a 1.6 percent year-

over-year increase. The average ask-

ing rent growth for Class A office

space atrophied while average ask-

ing rents for Class B/C office space

surged.

In 2017, with vacancy hovering

near historical lows, the average

asking rent is forecast to rise 1.7

percent to $25.57 per sf.

Denver’s strengthening market

conditions in 2016 spurred buyer

interest in office assets, although

limited for-sale inventory hindered

transaction velocity. That said, buy-

ers targeted office properties in

southeast and southwest Denver,

along with assets in downtown and

west Denver.

2017 projected to reach cyclical high for deliveries

Brian Smith

Vice president

investments,

Marcus &

Millichap, Denver

Market Update

Marcus & Millichap

Imagining new possibilities.

Creating lasting communities.

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UPROPERTIES.COM

MINNEAPOLIS DENVER

HFF DENVER

$4.7 BILLION IN 2016

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*

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(303) 515-8001

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Commercial

Investment Sales

(303) 515-8026

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Brock Yaffe

Debt & Equity

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(303) 515-8034

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Leon McBroom

Debt & Equity

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(303) 515-8008

lmcbroom@hfflp.com

Jeff Haag

Multi-housing

Investment Sales

(303) 515-8004

jhaag@hfflp.com

Kristian Lichtenfels

Debt & Equity

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(303) 515-8007

klichtenfels@hfflp.com

Chad Murray

Commercial

Investment Sales

(303) 515-8025

cmurray@hfflp.com

Mark Williford

Commercial

Investment Sales

(303) 515-8032

mwilliford@hfflp.com

*Equity is based on total capitalization.

HFF DENVER

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hfflp.com Please see ‘Smith,’ Page 27